[SINGAPORE] Stocks on the local bourse ended slightly lower on Monday (Jun 16), in contrast to gains across most key regional indices, against the backdrop of escalating tensions between Israel and Iran.
The benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) slid 0.1 per cent or 2.96 points to 3,908.46. Across the broader market, gainers beat losers 246 to 226, after 948.9 million securities worth S$1 billion were traded.
The biggest winner on the STI was ST Engineering, which was up 2.1 per cent or S$0.16 at S$7.96.
At the other end of the index was Singapore Airlines (SIA), which fell 1 per cent or S$0.07 to S$6.87. The drop comes after shares tumbled on Friday following a crash involving an Air India plane on Jun 12, as SIA holds a 25.1 per cent stake in the Indian carrier.
Meanwhile, local bank counters ended in the red. DBS fell 0.7 per cent or S$0.29 to S$44.16 while UOB edged down 0.4 per cent or S$0.13 at S$34.82 and OCBC slid 0.2 per cent or S$0.04 to S$16.02.
Elsewhere in the region, market sentiment remained more positive. South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 1.8 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 0.7 per cent and the Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index was up 0.1 per cent.
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Christian Gattiker, head of research at Julius Baer, said that for markets, the Israel-Iran conflict “remains within the realm of ‘Geopolitical 101’: a sharp, but ultimately transient shock – unless escalation accelerates meaningfully from here”.
He noted that unless the situation rapidly expands, such as through a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, direct US or Saudi Arabia involvement, or widespread proxy engagements, the market is unlikely to adjust beyond the initial risk premium.
Until then, he said it remains a tactical event rather than a strategic one, providing traders with an opportunity to take profits and reassess their positions.
“The key for investors is not just whether the conflict continues, but whether it intensifies in scope or duration,” said Gattiker.
