2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds: Mendoza Favored; Simpson, Moore Gaining Ground

The oddsboard for the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft is undergoing a weekly overhaul. 

Let’s check out the odds for the next No. 1 pick as of Oct. 19.

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 pick odds (FanDuel)

Fernando Mendoza: +210 (bet $10 to win $31 total)
LaNorris Sellers: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Ty Simpson: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Rueben Bain, Jr: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Dante Moore: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Garrett Nussmeier: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Carson Beck: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Jayden Maiava: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Arvell Reese: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Arch Manning: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has been in the drivers’ seat for a minute now.

Mendoza’s Hoosiers are 7-0, and he has 21 touchdowns to two interceptions. On the road against Oregon in Week 7, he threw for 215 yards, a TD and a pick in Indiana’s biggest win of the season, a 30-20 victory over the then-No. 3 Ducks. 

The 6-foot-5, 225-pound junior has 1,755 passing yards on the season and is completing 73.5% of his passes.

Second on the board is South Carolina quarterback LaNorris Sellers, whose Gamecocks have struggled all season. 

Sellers, a 6-foot-3, 240-pound sophomore, has battled injuries this year, and has 1,134 passing yards, five TDs and two interceptions. South Carolina is 3-4 overall. 

Making significant leaps up the board are Alabama QB Ty Simpson, Miami DE Rueben Bain Jr. and Oregon QB Dante Moore. Back on Sept. 28, both Simpson and Moore were at +2500 to go No. 1 in the next NFL Draft, and Bain was at +1500. 

One quarterback who was projected to be the first pick in next year’s draft at the beginning of the season has tumbled down the list, and that’s Arch Manning.

The Longhorns are 5-2 on the season, and Manning’s play has been uneven to say the least. He has thrown for 1,449 yards, 12 TDs and five picks, and is completing just 60.3% of his passes. He has also been sacked 13 times, an average of nearly twice a game. 

Manning quarterbacks have a history of being selected at or near the top of the draft, and that still could end up being the case.

Arch’s grandfather Archie was the second pick in the 1971 NFL Draft, landing in New Orleans. 

Nearly three decades later, in 1998, his uncle Peyton was picked first by the Indianapolis Colts. Then, just six years after that, in 2004, his other uncle Eli went No. 1 to the New York Giants. 

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, and follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily!